NFL: Wild Card Weekend

[AUTiger7222]

(01-03-2013 02:13 PM)Xanthri Wrote:  I think the Texans MAY and I stress MAY be able to pull off one solid game against the Bengals (who really have been up and down - sometimes darn right awful). Other than that I agree with your picks.

Especially the WASH pick, I think RG3 and Morris are built for their home turf, I heard the announcers saying last week that players were having a hard time with footing....I have to think that puts Seattle at a disadvantage because their guys built for speed will have to limit that speed in order to make cuts.

Marshawn Lynch splits (I realize he played on turf more but his AVG drops 1.4 yards and his rec yards avg drops 4.2 yards. May not see like much...
BY SURFACE ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD FUM LST
ON GRASS 99 406 4.1 20 1 8 46 5.8 13 0 3 1
ON TURF 216 1,184 5.5 77 10 15 150 10.0 27 1 2 1

Alfred Morris Splits (surprised he had lower average on turf) - he has ran on grass a bunch more than Lynch has though....looking at AVG they are close but I believe Morris will out gain Lynch in this outing....call it a hunch....I just think that grass will factor in.

BY SURFACE ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD FUM LST
ON GRASS 245 1,195 4.9 39 10 9 67 7.4 20 0 3 2
ON TURF 90 418 4.6 30 3 2 10 5.0 5 0 1 1

Russell Wilson on Grass
BY SURFACE ATT YDS AVG LNG TD
ON GRASS 30 151 5.0 20 0
ON TURF 64 338 5.3 25 4

RG3 on Grass
BY SURFACE ATT YDS AVG LNG TD
ON GRASS 84 573 6.8 76 5
ON TURF 36 242 6.7 28 2

Receivers are a bit of a toss up averages of top two slightly favor SEA (even on grass - though splits didn't discuss yards after catch on grass - which is bigger factor) - Seattle's run and WASH run def are close....

Overall they are very evenly matched....and RG3 is at home on his field. I have to day Seattle has been not as good on the road (that is not to say they can't turn it around....) For me it is unbelievable how WASH defense is responding despite losing 2 of their biggest contributers very early in the season.....

I understand what you're saying about the Bengals being up and down. But they are one of the hottest teams going into the playoffs. They finished the season on a 6-1 run and that 1 loss was by a last second field goal to the Cowboys who were hot at the time and were playing off the emotion of their teammate being killed.

Week 10 - NYG - Win 31-13
Week 11 - @ KC - Win 28-6
Week 12 - OAK - Win 34-10
Week 13 - @ SD - Win 20-13
Week 14 - DAL - Loss 19-20
Week 15 - @ PHI - Win 34-13
Week 16 - @ PIT - Win 13-10
Week 17 - BAL - Win 23-17

The Texans have played like crap the last couple of months and it all started with that Jacksonville game. They're defense is playing like crap.

Week 11 - JAC - Win 43-37 (OT)
Week 12 - @ DET - Win 34-31 (OT)
Week 13 - @ TEN - Win 24-10
Week 14 - @ NE - Loss 14-42
Week 15 - IND - Win 29-17
Week 16 - MIN - Loss 6-23
Week 17 - @ IND - Loss 16-28

If there was a game where I figured the road team would be favored it would be dis one.