NFL: Why Rushing Yards Equating To Victories Is A Myth

[FullMetalFalcon23]

(02-13-2013 06:22 PM)Beef Wrote:  This is very much the case and applies to us in so many ways.

This is also why it's evident Turner has lost it. We "tried" to go to the run game many times in the 4th, or even 3rd, quarters to do exactly what that guy said, hold the lead and run off as much time on the clock as we could. But over and over and over we let teams get back in it because we couldn't get a first down running exclusively.

If we had a guy who averaged 4 yards per carry every time he touched the ball, no matter if they knew it was coming or not, we'd have won the SB, no question.

We finally have the firepower passing game to get way ahead early or come from behind in a pinch if something fluky happens. What we're missing, however, is the running it down their throat even when they know it's coming aspect. That's why I think a RB is one of our top priorities this draft (in addition to a pass rusher). A good RB will not only hopefully give us that aspect back, but also supplement the deficiency of losing Tony. Which as discussed in other threads, losing Tony might not be as bad a thing as people realize. Getting rid of the security blanket and adding dynamic running will make us even less predictable which in turn opens up the field even more.

We just gotta hit on a really good RB this time. We need a Doug Martin type situation to happen to us this year. On top of an Aldon Smith.

I don't disagree with you at all. But I see that the how we go about remedying our situations with the pass rush and the rushing offense are perhaps diverging.

As I look at it we could address running back in the 2nd or 3rd and get a very good back. There are guys out there who could give us immediate impact such as Bell, Barner, Michael and others. My favourite of that group is Michael. The guy really stands out to me on tape. He had his injuries early much like Bernard, but has been very solid in my opinion since. He presents great value if we get him in my opinion.

It's not that I think he is better I actually think he is about the same as Bernard but here is my logic.

1st Round End: Montgomery/ Okafor/ Ansah (if he slips enough)
2nd Round RB: Say Barner / Michael/ and others climb to a high 3rd low 2nd grade

This upgrades our team in a better fashion than say

1st Round RB: Lacey/ Bernard
2nd Round End: Hunt /Lemonier

Honestly I will be happy so long as we upgrade one of those 2 spots with our 1st pick. But my preference in terms of building a team, the value and the way the draft is set out? Definitely is with scenario 1.

As a side, I really wouldn't rule out us moving up in Round 1 if an End we like is falling if we have a comp pick in Round 3. We could trade out 1st and 3rd move up a few spots and still get our running back in the 2nd/3rd comp pick.

I'd be surprised if went in a direction other than end or rb in round 1. Someone we feel we can't miss out on would have to be there. It's time we get some luck like some of these other teams have. Carlos Dunlap fell into the 2nd round in 2010 draft. Kid has posted 20 sacks in 3 years missed games and has still been productive we need that.

If you could show me an End you think we can get in the 2nd round who could genuinely give us 6 - 8 sacks his rookie season that I could look into I would appreciate it. As per one of your previous posts I'm hoping for Okafor or Montgomery. Problem is I think teams will pick up on how complete they are as players look past the hype of guys like Jordan and take them earlier than expected.

I think if that happened and there was a run on Ends, we would do best to take Bernard or Lacey and then go with a true 2nd round end. Otherwise we are reaching.