Falcons I don't understand all the Dirk negativity-LONG READ
01-16-2012, 02:37 AM (This post was last modified: 01-16-2012 02:51 AM by DaMeatTrough.)
I don't understand all the Dirk negativity-LONG READ
I have been posting on these boards for about 2-3 years now, and I have never seen such negativity and close mindedness on display. Even many of the posters who I consider the "voices of reason" in most discussions are becoming impatient and reactionary.
I understand the frustration from the fan base right now, and it is well deserved. Dimitroff and Smith know their @sses are on the line and I really don't think they hired Koetter as a favor. I am confident familiarity played a part, but is not the sole reason for the hire. I am not advocating for the guy, but I certainly will be optimistically neutral and give him support until has he given me reasons to not trust his abilities. I mean come on guys, wait until after the press conference (AT LEAST) to crucify the man!
People want Billick who has been out of coaching for years and his claim to fame is a Super Bowl carried by his defense, and also an explosive offense with a one of a kind player. Then you have Clement from Green Bay, who comes from a winning team. There's a fallacy going around that coaches on bad teams suck and coaches on good teams are the ones to get because suddenly the new team will be just like their old team. I'd like to point out that Clement has failed as an OC before as well...just saying. Who else is there? Martz? PLEASE.
Let's look at the numbers
Mike Mularkey regular season from 2008-2011
2008- Year 1
Dirk Koetter regular season 2007-2011
2011 (Not used in the analysis)
I will use the first four seasons of each coordinator and examine what I think that the numbers mean (disregarding 2011 with Koetter). I will call them Year 1-4
Year 1-Koetter and Mularkey's numbers were very similar. Both led by heavy rushing attacks with Turner for Atlanta and Taylor/MJD for the Jags. The passing yards were comparable from Garrard/Gray and rookie Matt Ryan. Here's how bad the Jags WRs were...in year 1, Michael Jenkins would have been the Jags leading WR by 5 catches (over Wilford) and over 100 yards (over Reggie Williams). If you guys thought Jenkins had no YAC ability, his 15.5 would have been second on the Jaguars after Reggie Williams' 16.6.
Year 2- Mularkey gets a semi-pass in this injury filled year. Slightly better than average numbers across the board, but as Gonzalez joined the crew the passing numbers went up. In year 2 the Jaguars run game took a hit, but the passing game stayed steady. With Ernest Wilford out of the picture, the Jags had Matt Jones step up, who had 65 receptions and 761 receiving yards in only 12 games. Jones then had legal problems and was out of the league.
Year 3- Mularkey's offense really stepped up, as Koeter's took a step back. Roddy had a huge season and the Falcons marched to a 13-3 record. For the third year in a row, the Jaguars had a new number one WR and that was Mike Sims-Walker with 63 catches for 869 yards, 7 touchdowns in 15 games. Mike Thomas and Torry Holt each had around 50 grabs. Remember, Marcedes Lewis hadn't broken out yet as he only had 32 grabs and two touchdowns.
Year 4- Mularkey's passing game shot up from a previous high of 223 yards to 262. Maybe Mularkey is finally opening up the playbook and became a better coach...or maybe Julio Jones is on the scene. The Falcons PPG however stayed pretty much the same. In year 4 Garrard played about 13.5 games and Mike Sims-Walker took a back seat to Mike Thomas and the running game. Marcedes Lewis broke out with 58 catches, 700 yards and 10 touchdowns and boosted their PPG to almost league average.
In summation, I believe everything I just wrote can be interpreted in different ways. Mularkey had led a top 10 offense in three of the past four years with a very steady and gradually increasing cast of characters. NOT ONE OF YOU WOULD WANT MULARKEY BACK, YET HIS OVERALL NUMBERS ARE IMPRESSIVE. THE STATS DO NOT TELL THE WHOLE STORY. Koetter has had fluxuation at wide receiver in all four years with a quarterback less talented than Matt Ryan and had a top 10 offense once, including a road playoff win at Pittsburgh (which Mularkey doesn't have).
Who cares if he isn't a sexy name? He specializes in the passing game and that's one thing that this team really needs to do better to compete with the elites in today's NFL. Listening to the Jags fans about his playcalling is ridiculous. He had to work with the parts he was given and created the offense to fit what he had (lots of screens to MJD, etc). Until he starts rolling out Matt every other play, I believe Dirk deserves a chance!
FINALLY, the same people trashing the Koetter hiring are the same ones yelling for Spagnuolo. The guy had a Super Bowl and a top 10 defense one year in New York with an incredibly talented line, and all of a sudden he's some kind of guru and SEXY PICK that the Falcons must hire? Well guess what, his defenses the past three years have ranked in PPG 26th, 12th and 31st with YPG being 22nd, 14th and 29th. It's all about being able to maximize the talent given and with that being said, I would love to have Spags here and I bet there wouldn't be one whisper about how he only succeeded in New York because of his BEASTLY defensive line or how his defenses have sucked for two of the past three years.